Evaluating the Impact of Wind Power Uncertainty on Power System Adequacy
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper discusses how wind power uncertainty affects power system adequacy from an operational point of view. A method is presented to produce wind power generation simulated data to feed a Monte Carlo scheme. The Monte Carlo scheme randomly selects forced outage patterns for each conventional generator and wind power simulated patterns in order to evaluate how system adequacy metrics, such as Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) and Loss of Energy Expectation (LOEE) change with the introduction of wind power into the system. The method is tested on a model of the Chilean Northern Interconnected system. Results show how LOLP and LOEE change for different capacity reserve margin levels and different levels of wind penetration. Keywordswind energy generation, power system reliability, power system adequacy, capacity value, Monte Carlo techniques, LOLP, LOEE
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